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Red130
577413.3
233746.2
504834.6
Blue80
353421.5
507313.2
353940.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6551020408010012014013080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.23.2
43.746.9
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
40.11.5
30.031.5
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
34.63.2
15.218.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
3534
#23
21.51.5
16.317.8
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
5774
#19
13.33.2
6.69.8
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
5073
#26
13.21.5
9.210.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0