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Red82
506514.5
24724.6
413028.2
Blue104
353828.0
577413.3
551729.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452040608010082104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#21
28.21.8
23.725.5
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 0.9
29.12.8
22.425.2
Auto1.6
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
247
#20
24.61.8
14.616.4
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
28.02.8
17.220.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
5065
#22
14.51.8
8.19.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
5774
#19
13.32.8
8.211.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End0.0