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Red47
353940.1
555514.6
506514.5
Blue7
521411.1
522310.9
505332.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50451020304060708090477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.1
32.832.9
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
5053
#13
32.12.0
26.924.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
5555
#15
14.60.1
7.77.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.5
5214
#25
11.12.0
10.28.2
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
5065
#22
14.50.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
5223
#37
10.92.0
10.48.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0