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Red20
353940.1
438011.5
36196.5
Blue12
481112.2
522310.9
521718.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502204060801001202012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.4
32.931.5
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 21.6
5217
#16
18.50.8
8.77.9
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
4380
#39
11.51.4
10.69.2
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4811
#29
12.20.8
10.39.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
3619
#40
6.51.4
3.62.3
Auto0.0
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5223
#37
10.90.8
8.47.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0