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Red0
233746.2
499423.9
30966.8
Blue18
566211.3
354812.9
33027.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741704060100120140160018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.8
38.936.1
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 33.3
3548
#33
12.90.4
9.28.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Second
4994
#18
23.92.8
20.217.5
Auto0.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 12.6
5662
#35
11.30.4
8.07.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
3096
#41
6.82.8
8.65.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3302
#34
7.20.4
9.28.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0