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Red104
577413.3
22650.4
499423.9
Blue49
543623.2
505332.1
521718.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7448020406010012014010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
50.41.6
43.945.5
Auto0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 18.3
5053
#13
32.10.2
26.926.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
4994
#18
23.91.6
17.519.0
Auto0.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
5436
#12
23.20.2
18.718.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
5774
#19
13.31.6
10.812.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5217
#16
18.50.2
7.97.7
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0