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Red24
521411.1
413028.2
48547.8
Blue4
353421.5
30966.8
259117.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038010203050607080244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#21
28.20.8
25.124.3
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
3534
#23
21.51.2
20.919.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5214
#25
11.10.8
8.47.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 6.6
2591
#17
17.71.2
13.912.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4854
#36
7.80.8
6.05.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
3096
#41
6.81.2
5.84.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0