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Red46
118818.9
555514.6
353421.5
Blue114
81831.7
551729.1
504834.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358305010015020046114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#23
21.50.1
19.619.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 13.1
34.61.8
24.025.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
1188
#24
18.90.1
12.812.9
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 12.8
818
#11
31.71.8
30.131.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
5555
#15
14.60.1
11.311.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 14.5
29.11.8
24.326.1
Auto1.6
Teleop27.5
End0.0