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Red38
506514.5
81831.7
521718.5
Blue21
499423.9
566211.3
520116.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334001001502003821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#11
31.70.1
23.123.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
4994
#18
23.90.4
19.018.7
Auto0.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
5217
#16
18.50.1
5.05.2
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
5201
#30
16.40.4
14.514.2
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5065
#22
14.50.1
7.47.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
5662
#35
11.30.4
7.06.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0