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Red74
438011.5
505332.1
30966.8
Blue68
46960.8
565014.0
481520.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33860501001502007468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#13
32.11.6
26.728.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 28.6
469
#2
60.80.6
54.353.7
Auto0.8
Teleop60.0
End0.0
Second
4380
#39
11.51.6
11.513.1
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 9.3
4815
#14
20.80.6
13.512.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
3096
#41
6.81.6
4.66.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5650
#27
14.00.6
13.112.4
Auto0.4
Teleop13.6
End0.0