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Red60
413028.2
566211.3
523913.3
Blue96
522310.9
36196.5
504834.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060801006096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#21
28.21.1
24.325.4
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
34.63.0
25.828.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
5239
#28
13.31.1
11.913.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
5223
#37
10.93.0
8.411.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
5662
#35
11.31.1
8.59.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
3619
#40
6.53.0
1.84.8
Auto0.0
Teleop6.4
End0.0