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Red172
505332.1
3370.4
481520.8
Blue48
543623.2
522310.9
413028.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11143010015020025017248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
70.43.4
60.864.2
Auto4.9
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 42.2
4130
#21
28.20.4
26.426.1
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
5053
#13
32.13.4
28.331.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
5436
#12
23.20.4
18.117.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
4815
#14
20.83.4
15.318.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 9.9
5223
#37
10.90.4
11.010.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0