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Red111
171131.0
24541.9
569221.0
Blue83
368827.7
86237.5
518311.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937005015011183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
41.90.4
41.541.9
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
862
#2
37.50.1
37.437.5
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
31.00.4
30.631.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
3688
#13
27.70.1
27.627.7
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
5692
#17
21.00.4
20.621.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 9.6
5183
#37
11.30.1
11.211.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0