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Red0
159627.0
52479.5
439823.9
Blue42
5135.7
531414.7
361822.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550100150042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#10
27.02.6
11.48.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 8.7
51
#3
35.71.0
25.624.7
Auto0.7
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
23.91.6
15.614.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
3618
#14
22.81.0
16.515.5
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5247
#39
9.51.6
10.79.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5314
#29
14.71.0
11.510.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0