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Red78
522315.2
90422.7
9414.4
Blue117
439823.9
521321.9
376726.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3644010015078117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#16
22.73.3
18.922.2
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 3.6
26.33.6
15.018.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5223
#23
15.23.3
6.910.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
23.93.6
15.419.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
94
#18
14.42.0
12.914.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
5213
#11
21.93.6
13.717.3
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0