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Red92
507214.1
550521.0
86237.5
Blue61
439823.9
368827.7
353714.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455001001502009261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
37.52.2
30.232.5
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 9.8
3688
#13
27.71.3
21.622.9
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5505
#12
21.03.7
12.716.4
Auto0.7
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
23.90.8
19.019.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.13.7
4.38.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3537
#33
14.61.3
10.712.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0