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Red55
247423.0
507214.1
439823.9
Blue11
518311.3
498320.0
557515.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801005511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
20.220.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 4.0
4983
#15
20.01.6
20.819.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2474
#20
23.00.7
18.919.6
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 7.7
5575
#28
15.41.6
15.413.9
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.10.7
7.17.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
5183
#37
11.31.6
6.04.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0