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Red41
388612.7
86237.5
439216.9
Blue11
36037.5
507214.1
9414.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5422040801001201401604111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
37.50.5
32.131.5
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 23.1
94
#18
14.40.8
10.39.5
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
4392
#22
16.90.9
12.011.1
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
5072
#25
14.11.4
8.97.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
3886
#26
12.70.5
7.36.8
Auto0.3
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 5.2
3603
#40
7.51.4
8.77.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0