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Red13
52479.5
353714.6
9414.4
Blue48
247423.0
439216.9
498320.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801001201401601348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#33
14.62.2
16.914.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2474
#20
23.00.5
19.619.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
94
#18
14.41.5
16.214.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4983
#15
20.00.4
19.318.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5247
#39
9.51.5
10.89.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 7.3
4392
#22
16.90.5
16.616.1
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0