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Red71
361822.8
439126.4
507214.1
Blue58
376726.3
570910.0
224616.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746203040506070807158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.7
21.623.3
Auto0.9
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
26.30.5
21.221.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
3618
#14
22.81.7
18.219.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
2246
#30
16.80.5
16.316.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.11.7
7.89.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 4.1
5709
#34
10.00.7
11.211.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0