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Red90
388612.7
439823.9
171131.0
Blue106
508616.8
376726.3
159627.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55522040608010090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.7
25.527.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
1596
#10
27.03.1
19.923.1
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
23.91.7
21.723.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
26.32.6
22.725.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
3886
#26
12.71.7
9.210.9
Auto0.3
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5086
#21
16.82.6
12.014.6
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0