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Red41
439216.9
90422.7
511017.8
Blue19
553424.9
522315.2
556226.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36390501001502004119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#16
22.70.8
16.317.1
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
26.41.0
19.017.9
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
5110
#32
17.80.8
10.010.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 7.1
24.91.7
12.811.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
4392
#22
16.90.8
11.111.9
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
5223
#23
15.21.7
8.06.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0