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Red95
247423.0
159627.0
507214.1
Blue97
368827.7
86237.5
518311.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577401001502009597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#10
27.00.5
26.326.8
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 10.5
862
#2
37.50.4
36.737.1
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
2474
#20
23.00.5
22.322.9
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3688
#13
27.70.4
26.927.3
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.10.5
13.514.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
5183
#37
11.30.4
10.510.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0