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Red96
21739.5
102542.8
504627.1
Blue143
213738.5
6755.6
370718.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106105608012014016096143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.2
42.742.5
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
blue by 12.8
67
#1
55.60.6
54.655.1
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
217
#4
39.50.2
39.539.3
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 1.1
38.50.6
37.438.0
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Third
5046
#15
27.10.2
27.026.8
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 8.7
3707
#26
18.40.6
17.418.0
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0