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Red167
213738.5
6755.6
370718.4
Blue67
522923.2
547822.0
437720.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10956015020016767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
55.61.0
52.953.9
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 32.3
5229
#18
23.20.0
23.523.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
38.51.0
35.836.8
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 16.5
5478
#11
22.00.0
22.222.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
3707
#26
18.41.0
15.816.8
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4377
#19
20.60.0
20.820.9
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0