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Red66
521613.9
365629.1
50321.1
Blue86
309822.3
413025.9
481921.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576701001502006686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.1
28.028.1
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
503
#21
21.10.1
20.020.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3098
#31
22.30.3
22.022.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5216
#32
13.90.1
12.812.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4819
#17
21.00.3
20.721.0
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0