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Red20
50321.1
47018.3
370718.4
Blue20
261929.1
125.8
504815.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060801001201401602020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#21
21.11.1
19.118.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
2619
#14
29.12.2
21.519.3
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3707
#26
18.41.9
16.614.7
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 7.4
1
#10
25.82.2
13.811.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
470
#27
18.31.9
6.95.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
5048
#22
15.22.2
11.49.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0