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Red68
547822.0
309822.3
473713.5
Blue54
377317.4
30830.3
21739.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3454020801001201401606854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#31
22.32.5
17.119.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 17.3
217
#4
39.50.1
20.921.0
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
5478
#11
22.02.5
13.015.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 8.3
308
#8
30.30.1
19.419.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
4737
#25
13.51.5
8.29.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3773
#23
17.40.1
12.913.0
Auto1.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0