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Red12
52332.7
365629.1
570314.0
Blue4
565013.9
261929.1
370718.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30420206080100120140160124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.2
17.616.4
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
2619
#14
29.12.6
19.316.6
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
5703
#29
14.01.2
6.35.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3707
#26
18.42.6
14.712.1
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5233
#39
2.71.2
8.77.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0
blue by 11.2
5650
#24
13.92.6
7.65.0
Auto1.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0