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Red54
125.8
564210.8
505328.4
Blue122
437720.6
102542.8
481921.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2770040608010012014016054122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.6
14.215.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 14.4
42.82.8
29.332.1
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
1
#10
25.81.6
9.911.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
4819
#17
21.04.7
23.528.2
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5642
#28
10.81.0
10.111.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4377
#19
20.64.7
12.817.5
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0