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Red102
504815.2
504627.1
6755.6
Blue122
261929.1
505328.4
102542.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7968050100150102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
55.61.7
44.946.6
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 12.8
42.82.5
35.538.0
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
5046
#15
27.11.7
18.320.0
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2619
#14
29.13.9
18.922.8
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5048
#22
15.21.7
16.918.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 13.2
28.43.9
17.521.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.7
End0.0