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Red108
370718.4
6755.6
437720.6
Blue26
485117.6
21739.5
341412.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7256020408010012014016010826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
55.62.6
46.649.2
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 16.1
217
#4
39.51.7
31.329.6
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
4377
#19
20.62.6
14.917.5
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
4851
#20
17.61.7
16.114.5
Auto2.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3707
#26
18.42.6
10.813.3
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 6.3
3414
#36
12.21.7
13.611.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0