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Red58
547822.0
481921.0
370718.4
Blue78
522923.2
437720.6
506712.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64380501001502005878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#11
22.00.3
23.122.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5229
#18
23.22.3
16.919.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
4819
#17
21.00.3
25.625.4
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
4377
#19
20.62.3
17.519.8
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
3707
#26
18.40.3
13.313.1
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
5067
#30
12.91.7
9.110.8
Auto0.9
Teleop12.1
End0.0