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Red56
102542.8
31312.1
504815.2
Blue6
309822.3
52252.0
56627.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7927050100150200566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.9
40.840.0
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
red by 20.5
3098
#31
22.31.2
23.822.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
5048
#22
15.21.2
16.815.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 8.2
5662
#37
7.01.2
9.28.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Third
313
#33
12.11.2
16.315.1
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
5225
#38
2.01.2
3.11.9
Auto0.2
Teleop1.8
End0.0