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Red56
377317.4
56627.0
485117.6
Blue47
413025.9
261929.1
31312.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36700501001502005647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#20
17.60.8
15.616.5
Auto2.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 11.5
2619
#14
29.11.2
26.625.4
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3773
#23
17.40.8
18.919.7
Auto1.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 8.5
25.91.2
25.324.1
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
5662
#37
7.00.8
8.08.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
313
#33
12.11.2
15.113.9
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0