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Red138
21739.5
102542.8
504627.1
Blue79
521613.9
365629.1
50321.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11050015020013879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.6
41.141.7
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
red by 13.6
29.10.3
28.128.4
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
217
#4
39.50.6
37.938.4
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 18.4
503
#21
21.10.3
20.120.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5046
#15
27.10.6
25.426.0
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
5216
#32
13.90.3
12.913.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0