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Red130
213738.5
6755.6
370718.4
Blue101
47018.3
125.8
261929.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115580100150200250130101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
55.60.3
54.855.2
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 26.5
2619
#14
29.10.5
27.628.1
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
38.50.3
37.738.0
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 12.6
1
#10
25.80.5
24.424.9
Auto0.8
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
3707
#26
18.40.3
17.718.0
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
470
#27
18.30.5
16.817.3
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0