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Red182
213760.0
191855.1
240530.4
Blue78
354626.2
90433.6
85831.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407905010020025018278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.8
56.757.4
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 26.5
904
#13
33.60.2
33.533.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
55.10.8
51.752.5
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 23.2
858
#21
31.90.2
31.931.6
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
2405
#14
30.40.8
27.027.7
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
3546
#22
26.20.2
26.125.9
Auto2.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0