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Red136
7432.9
8553.3
531624.3
Blue74
323433.2
207534.4
14121.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108835015020013674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.30.5
52.552.9
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 18.9
2075
#10
34.40.3
34.734.4
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
74
#8
32.90.5
32.132.6
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3234
#18
33.20.3
33.533.2
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
Third
5316
#29
24.30.5
23.423.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
141
#28
21.80.3
22.121.8
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0