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Red28
14121.8
499514.5
8553.3
Blue30
456819.4
277129.7
544816.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6746020801001201402830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.31.9
43.841.9
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 23.6
2771
#15
29.71.0
22.921.9
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
141
#28
21.81.9
11.69.7
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
4568
#38
19.41.7
15.413.7
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4995
#35
14.53.2
10.47.3
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5448
#36
16.41.0
12.611.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0