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Red74
323433.2
357231.6
445320.0
Blue88
205452.5
360319.6
547320.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801007488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#18
33.20.8
25.426.2
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 19.3
52.51.4
38.539.9
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
3572
#12
31.60.8
18.219.0
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 11.2
5473
#27
20.51.4
14.615.9
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4453
#23
20.00.8
13.914.8
Auto1.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
3603
#26
19.61.4
7.38.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0