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Red78
357231.6
531624.3
90433.6
Blue66
207534.4
335732.7
544816.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6865204060801001207866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#13
33.60.8
27.027.8
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2075
#10
34.40.2
33.633.8
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
3572
#12
31.60.8
21.522.2
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3357
#16
32.70.2
21.521.6
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
5316
#29
24.31.3
20.421.6
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 7.8
5448
#36
16.40.2
13.914.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0