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Red144
205452.5
495624.6
191855.1
Blue96
496753.3
456819.4
433717.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9959015020014496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.12.4
34.236.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
53.31.4
39.540.9
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
52.52.4
42.444.8
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 33.1
4568
#38
19.42.4
16.518.9
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4956
#24
24.62.4
19.722.1
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 7.5
4337
#34
17.21.4
11.412.9
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0