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Red96
24716.3
495624.6
8553.3
Blue94
345820.7
335732.7
357231.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863020401001201401609694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.30.9
46.347.2
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 20.6
3357
#16
32.71.3
24.525.8
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4956
#24
24.60.9
21.722.5
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3572
#12
31.61.3
24.125.5
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Third
247
#40
16.31.4
10.812.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3458
#33
20.71.3
19.120.4
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0