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Red80
10757.0
516220.6
531624.3
Blue34
360319.6
566421.2
517318.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86370501001502008034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#5
57.00.5
44.945.4
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
red by 35.8
5664
#32
21.20.3
17.317.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
5316
#29
24.30.9
21.021.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
3603
#26
19.60.3
13.313.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
5162
#39
20.60.5
15.716.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
5173
#30
18.40.3
15.715.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0