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Red126
7432.9
496753.3
547320.5
Blue132
213760.0
345820.7
555920.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8785708090100110120130126132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.8
48.650.4
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
60.02.2
51.753.9
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Second
74
#8
32.91.8
23.325.1
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 12.2
3458
#33
20.72.2
20.422.6
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5473
#27
20.51.8
18.019.8
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
5559
#31
20.23.4
15.919.4
Auto0.8
Teleop19.4
End0.0