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Red102
207534.4
400434.2
213760.0
Blue126
335732.7
205452.5
517318.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1268650100150200250102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.1
54.453.3
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 7.5
52.51.5
49.450.9
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
2075
#10
34.41.1
35.634.5
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
3357
#16
32.71.5
30.431.9
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
4004
#20
34.21.1
33.932.8
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 15.7
5173
#30
18.41.5
15.416.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0