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Red142
8553.3
22639.9
357231.6
Blue152
566421.2
10757.0
323433.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149450150200142152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.31.4
49.651.0
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
blue by 3.7
107
#5
57.02.6
51.353.9
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
226
#9
39.91.7
36.237.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 6.7
3234
#18
33.22.6
29.932.5
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
Third
3572
#12
31.61.4
29.130.4
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 10.4
5664
#32
21.22.6
19.321.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0