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Red127
323433.2
354626.2
205452.5
Blue136
7432.9
10757.0
544816.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079250150200127136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.9
50.951.9
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
107
#5
57.02.2
53.956.1
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
3234
#18
33.20.9
32.533.4
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 0.3
74
#8
32.92.2
29.631.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
3546
#22
26.21.0
25.026.1
Auto2.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 9.7
5448
#36
16.42.2
14.216.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0