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Red75
462429.9
462331.9
250015.9
Blue55
217522.8
563823.7
257416.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785801001502007555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 8.3
23.70.2
23.923.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
29.90.1
29.929.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
2175
#27
22.80.2
23.022.8
Auto0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
2500
#22
15.90.1
15.915.9
Auto0.8
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2574
#31
16.60.2
16.816.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0